SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 16.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Mirandes |
57.17% ( -0.07) | 25.85% ( 0.08) | 16.98% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.15% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.17% ( -0.26) | 61.82% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.39% ( -0.19) | 81.61% ( 0.19) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( -0.14) | 21.84% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( -0.21) | 55.06% ( 0.21) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.09% ( -0.17) | 49.9% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.41% ( -0.12) | 84.59% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Mirandes |
| 1-0 @ 16.58% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.63% 1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.98% |
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