Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.46%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.02) 
