SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Fredrikstad |
49.35% ( 0.02) | 22.79% ( -0) | 27.86% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.33% ( -0.01) | 38.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.03% ( -0.01) | 60.97% ( 0.01) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.06% ( 0) | 15.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.8% ( 0.01) | 45.2% ( -0.01) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( -0.02) | 26.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( -0.02) | 61.58% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.35% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.86% |
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