Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 11.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.24%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
Result | ||
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
73.42% ( 0.2) | 14.87% ( -0.11) | 11.71% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 61.64% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.24% ( 0.3) | 25.76% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.09% ( 0.39) | 45.91% ( -0.39) |
Bodo/Glimt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.94% ( 0.1) | 6.06% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.95% ( 0.29) | 23.05% ( -0.28) |
Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.62% ( 0.09) | 34.38% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.91% ( 0.1) | 71.09% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.4% Total : 73.42% | 1-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 14.87% | 1-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 11.71% |
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