Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valenciennes win with a probability of 90.16%. A draw had a probability of 7.6% and a win for Sarreguemines had a probability of 2.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valenciennes win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.28%) and 0-4 (12.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.49%), while for a Sarreguemines win it was 1-0 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valenciennes would win this match.
