Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 48.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Valenciennes had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Valenciennes win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Valenciennes
48.08% ( 0.68)	28.7% ( -0.49)	23.22% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 40.29% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.2% (

1.29)

64.79% (

-1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.25% (

0.9)

83.75% (

-0.9)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.7% (

0.97)

27.3% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.26% (

1.24)

62.74% (

-1.25)

Valenciennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.41% (

0.58)

44.59% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4% (

0.47)

80.6% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 48.07%

Valenciennes 23.22%

Draw 28.68%

Ajaccio	Draw	Valenciennes
1-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.65% Total : 48.07%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.6) 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.68%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.22%