SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 64.85%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
64.85% ( -0.01) | 19.97% ( 0.11) | 15.18% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -0.73) | 42.54% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( -0.73) | 64.94% ( 0.73) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( -0.22) | 12.36% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% ( -0.46) | 38.2% ( 0.47) |
| Yverdon Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.58) | 40.68% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% ( -0.53) | 77.27% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Yverdon Sport |
| 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.42% Total : 64.85% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.97% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.18% |
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