SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Servette had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
46.76% ( 0.13) | 24.1% ( 0.07) | 29.14% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.1% ( -0.41) | 43.9% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.71% ( -0.4) | 66.29% ( 0.4) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.07% ( -0.11) | 18.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.56% ( -0.18) | 50.43% ( 0.18) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.34) | 28.2% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.1% ( -0.44) | 63.9% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.14% |
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