SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Servette win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
38.8% ( -0.19) | 26.03% ( 0.02) | 35.17% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.06) | 50.39% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( -0.06) | 72.33% ( 0.05) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( -0.13) | 25.45% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( -0.18) | 60.28% ( 0.17) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( 0.07) | 27.53% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( 0.09) | 63.04% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
| 1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 35.17% |
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