Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.1%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
22.31% ( -0.07) | 19.59% ( -0.08) | 58.1% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 67.55% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.37% ( 0.3) | 28.63% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.47% ( 0.37) | 49.52% ( -0.37) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.02% ( 0.12) | 24.98% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.37% ( 0.16) | 59.63% ( -0.16) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.05% ( 0.13) | 9.95% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.09% ( 0.3) | 32.91% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 22.31% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.59% | 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 7.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.84% Total : 58.1% |
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