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May 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at The City Ground
Nott'm Forest
1 - 2
Sheff Utd
Nott'm Forest win 3-2 on penalties
Johnson (19')
McKenna (75'), Worrall (90+1'), Cook (111')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gibbs-White (47'), Fleck (75')
Heckingbottom (38'), Robinson (58')

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Sheffield United (Nottingham Forest to win 4-2 on aggregate)

With a late goal having kept Sheffield United in the tie, they will be optimistic about building further momentum during the early stages on Tuesday night. However, we simply cannot back against Forest getting the job done at the City Ground, leading us to predict another hard-fought victory for the East Midlands outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSheffield United
43.7%27.67%28.63%
Both teams to score 46.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.41%58.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.85%79.15%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14%61.85%
Sheffield United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76%36.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97%73.03%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 43.69%
    Sheffield United 28.63%
    Draw 27.67%
Nottingham ForestDrawSheffield United
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 43.69%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 9.65%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.97%
1-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 28.63%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, May 3 at 7pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 5-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-0 Fulham
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Sheff Utd
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Cardiff
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, April 18 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-2 Reading
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in Championship
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