SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SSC Farul win with a probability of 39%. A win for Universitatea Craiova had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SSC Farul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Universitatea Craiova win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
39% ( -0.33) | 24.87% ( 0.12) | 36.12% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( -0.53) | 45.1% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( -0.52) | 67.45% ( 0.51) |
| SSC Farul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.03% ( -0.41) | 22.96% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.24% ( -0.6) | 56.75% ( 0.59) |
| Universitatea Craiova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0.14) | 24.49% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.06% ( -0.18) | 58.94% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSC Farul | Draw | Universitatea Craiova |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.21% Total : 39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 36.12% |
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