Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CFR Cluj win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for SSC Farul had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CFR Cluj win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest SSC Farul win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.12) 
