SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dender had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Standard Liege in this match.
| Result | ||
| Standard Liege | Draw | Dender |
51.28% ( -0.01) | 26.52% ( 0.12) | 22.2% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.33% ( -0.5) | 58.67% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% ( -0.39) | 79.21% ( 0.39) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.22) | 23.02% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.32) | 56.83% ( 0.32) |
| Dender Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.39) | 42.04% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.53% ( -0.34) | 78.47% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Standard Liege | Draw | Dender |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.62% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.2% |
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