Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Leuven win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
