SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Standard Liege |
44.45% ( 1) | 25.65% ( -0.05) | 29.89% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( -0.18) | 50.29% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( -0.16) | 72.24% ( 0.16) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 0.4) | 22.57% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( 0.59) | 56.16% ( -0.6) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( -0.76) | 30.92% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.78% ( -0.89) | 67.22% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.9% |
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