Mohamed's enforced absence will no doubt hamper Nantes' attacking proficiency, but a refreshed Abline still poses a threat to the Strasbourg backline, and consistency at the back has been hard to come by for the hosts.
However, Strasbourg are very rarely kept at arm's length in the final third at the Stade de la Meinau, and while a home win is not beyond the realm of possibility, a point apiece seems the most likely outcome between two evenly-matched outfits.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
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