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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
M

Strasbourg
2 - 2
Montpellier

Lecomte (63' og.), Mothiba (69')
Delaine (12'), Guilbert (45+6'), Bakwa (76'), Vieira (90+4'), Emegha (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Khazri (35'), Nordin (40')
Adams (28'), Sylla (45+1'), Nordin (46'), Savanier (58'), Leroy (86'), Chotard (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 2-1 Montpellier HSC

Although Strasbourg have struggled for consistency this season, Vieira's side have won both of their home games, scoring two goals against Lyon and Toulouse. With that in mind, we expect the hosts to claim all three points on Sunday, although Montpellier are expected to push Le Racing all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
41.31% (-0.451 -0.45) 26.04% (-0.196 -0.2) 32.66% (0.648 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.848 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1% (0.994 0.99)50.89% (-0.993 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23% (0.868 0.87)72.77% (-0.867 -0.87)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.214 0.21)24.37% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.301 0.3)58.77% (-0.3 -0.3)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (0.923 0.92)29.35% (-0.922 -0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (1.119 1.12)65.33% (-1.118 -1.12)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 41.3%
    Montpellier HSC 32.66%
    Draw 26.03%
StrasbourgDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.09% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 32.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Toulouse
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 3-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Lyon
Sunday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, July 21 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Strasbourg
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Reims
Sunday, August 27 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-4 Montpellier
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Le Havre
Sunday, August 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-3 Montpellier
Saturday, June 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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