A 3-0 win over Maccabi Haifa failed to inspire Rennes back into winning form in the league as another draw last weekend felt like one step backwards.
Nantes' form has really picked up in recent weeks after a very sluggish start, and they may spring a minor surprise here against a Rennes side with a lot on their plate this week.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.23) 
