Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
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