SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
52.21% ( 0.28) | 22.88% ( -0.09) | 24.91% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.27) | 41.6% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( 0.27) | 64% ( -0.27) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( 0.2) | 15.99% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.69% ( 0.36) | 45.31% ( -0.35) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% | 30.13% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.21% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.91% |
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