SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
41.05% ( -0.35) | 25.62% ( 0.06) | 33.32% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( -0.19) | 48.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( -0.18) | 71.06% ( 0.17) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0.26) | 23.64% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( -0.38) | 57.73% ( 0.37) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( 0.09) | 27.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( 0.11) | 63.62% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 33.32% |
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