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National League South | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
2 - 0
Farnborough

Jenkins-Davies (4'), Young (7')
Dreyer (36'), Threlkeld (53')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pruti (13'), Turner (45'), Robinson (50')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Enfield Town 1-4 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
46.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.44% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.21% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 57.06% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.57% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)45.42% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.76% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)19.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.28% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)51.72% (0.012 0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.93% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19%64.81%
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 46.34%
    Farnborough Town 29.22%
    Draw 24.44%
Torquay UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 46.34%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Enfield Town 1-4 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 4-2 Weston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 0-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 0-1 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-1 Chippenham
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Worthing
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 4-3 Farnborough
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Slough
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Boreham Wood 3-1 Farnborough
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-4 Dorking
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South


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