Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Farnborough Town | Draw | Torquay United |
40.78% ( -1.41) | 24.66% ( 0.22) | 34.56% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% ( -0.7) | 44.35% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% ( -0.69) | 66.72% ( 0.68) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.24% ( -0.96) | 21.76% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.06% ( -1.49) | 54.94% ( 1.49) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.98% ( 0.37) | 25.02% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% ( 0.51) | 59.68% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Farnborough Town | Draw | Torquay United |
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.56% |
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