SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Worthing |
42.7% ( -0.46) | 24% ( -0.13) | 33.3% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 60.67% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.43% ( 0.81) | 41.57% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.03% ( 0.82) | 63.97% ( -0.82) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.29% ( 0.13) | 19.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.21) | 51.71% ( -0.22) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.73) | 24.43% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% ( 1.03) | 58.86% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.7% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.3% |
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