Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UTA Arad win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Hermannstadt had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a UTA Arad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hermannstadt win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
