Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rapid Bucuresti win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for UTA Arad had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rapid Bucuresti win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a UTA Arad win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rapid Bucuresti would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.15) 
