Vitoria have put together a fine run of results of late but will need to be at their best as they look to end their losing streaks against the visitors. Paranaense have struggled to get going on their travels and we see both sides settling for a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
0.16) 
-0.26) 
