Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
50.83% ( 0.87) | 26.56% ( 0.27) | 22.61% ( -1.14) |
Both teams to score 44.95% ( -1.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.53% ( -1.86) | 58.47% ( 1.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.94% ( -1.47) | 79.06% ( 1.47) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.86% ( -0.41) | 23.14% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43% ( -0.59) | 57% ( 0.59) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.48% ( -2.15) | 41.52% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( -1.95) | 78.02% ( 1.95) |
Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.61% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.66) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.18% Total : 22.61% |
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