Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.14) 
