Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 47.04%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.