SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 57.05%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 21.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
57.05% ( -0.94) | 21.06% ( 0.23) | 21.9% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.58% ( -0.17) | 36.42% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.45% ( -0.19) | 58.55% ( 0.19) |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( -0.33) | 12.68% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.14% ( -0.68) | 38.86% ( 0.68) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( 0.53) | 29.78% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( 0.63) | 65.86% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.07% Total : 57.05% | 1-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.9% |
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