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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
The New Lawn

Forest Green
0 - 0
Brighton U21s

Brighton U21s win 4-2 on penalties

Robertson (60'), Sully (62'), McCann (66')
FT
(aet)

Flower (80')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Forest Green Rovers and Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.41%) and 1-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
43.88% (2.774 2.77) 21.79% (-0.572 -0.57) 34.33% (-2.203 -2.2)
Both teams to score 69.43% (1.701 1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.71% (2.416 2.42)30.29% (-2.417 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.46% (2.845 2.85)51.54% (-2.847 -2.85)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (2.019 2.02)14.69% (-2.022 -2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.12% (3.741 3.74)42.88% (-3.742 -3.74)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.39% (0.066000000000003 0.07)18.61% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.1% (0.114 0.11)49.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 43.88%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 34.33%
    Draw 21.79%
Forest Green RoversDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.407 0.41)
1-0 @ 5.24% (-0.341 -0.34)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.54% (0.352 0.35)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.235 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.356 0.36)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.303 0.3)
4-0 @ 1.54% (0.209 0.21)
4-3 @ 1.22% (0.172 0.17)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.553 -0.55)
2-2 @ 7.11% (0.078 0.08)
0-0 @ 2.74% (-0.387 -0.39)
3-3 @ 2.55% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 7.41% (-0.447 -0.45)
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.64 -0.64)
1-3 @ 4.16% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 3.98% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.529 -0.53)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.291 -0.29)
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.026 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 Barrow
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 5-0 Colchester
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Forest Green (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 2-1 Forest Green
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Brighton U21s 2-1 Aston Villa U21s
Friday, November 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 6-3 Brighton U21s
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Derby U21s 2-3 Brighton U21s
Friday, September 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-1 Newcastle U21s
Saturday, September 23 at 4pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Brighton U21s (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Brighton U21s 1-0 Forest U21s
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1


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