Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wycombe Wanderers in this match.