SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Braintree Town |
43.21% ( 0.59) | 26.68% ( -0) | 30.11% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.2) | 54.35% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% ( -0.17) | 75.74% ( 0.17) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.2) | 24.95% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.28) | 59.58% ( -0.28) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.53) | 32.87% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.56% ( -0.59) | 69.44% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.11% |
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