Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.