SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Braintree Town |
42.09% ( 0.01) | 25.91% ( 0.05) | 32% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.63% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.23) | 50.55% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.53% ( -0.21) | 72.47% ( 0.21) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% ( -0.1) | 23.82% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.01% ( -0.14) | 57.99% ( 0.14) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.16) | 29.61% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% ( -0.19) | 65.65% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 32% |
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