Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 36.56%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (11.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.