Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.