Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Atlas win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.