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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club America | Draw | Santos Laguna |
55.43% ( -0.57) | 21.6% ( 0.27) | 22.97% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.85% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.94) | 37.7% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.06% ( -1.01) | 59.94% ( 1.01) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.41% ( -0.48) | 13.58% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.3% ( -0.97) | 40.7% ( 0.97) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( -0.28) | 29.59% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( -0.34) | 65.62% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Club America | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 22.97% |
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