Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.