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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2020 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 2
Cruz Azul

Lopez (10')
Lorona (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gimenez (48'), Rodriguez (82')
Rivero (23')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
27.67%24.89%47.44%
Both teams to score 54.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.7%48.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55%70.45%
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46%31.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07%67.93%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.6%20.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16%52.84%
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 27.67%
    Cruz Azul 47.43%
    Draw 24.89%
Club TijuanaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 7.43%
2-1 @ 6.81%
2-0 @ 4.29%
3-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.08%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 10.22%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-2 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 4.31%
2-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.98%
0-4 @ 1.71%
2-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.43%


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