Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.