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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 16, 2020 at 1am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Juarez

Yotun (33'), Rodriguez (47', 61')
Lichnovsky (70'), Aldrete (78'), Rivero (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lezcano (1'), Velazquez (86')
Lopez (38'), Zavala (72'), Rubio (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Juarez.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 13.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.35%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawJuarez
65.5%20.58%13.93%
Both teams to score 46.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26%47.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07%69.93%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23%13.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94%41.06%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.33%45.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.54%81.46%
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 65.48%
    Juarez 13.93%
    Draw 20.58%
Cruz AzulDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 6.41%
4-0 @ 4.05%
4-1 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.51%
5-0 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 65.48%
1-1 @ 9.77%
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.93%
1-2 @ 3.83%
0-2 @ 1.93%
1-3 @ 1%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 13.93%


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