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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Aug 27, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio de Mazatlan

Mazatlan
1 - 3
America

Valdes (11' og.)
Vargas (34'), Fabian (37'), Intriago (44')
Vargas (58')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Valdes (39'), Martin (45'), Caceres (49')
Caceres (15'), Zendejas (68')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, August 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 America
Wednesday, August 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
MazatlanDrawClub America
27.87% (0.224 0.22) 25.82% (0.073 0.07) 46.31% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.7% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (-0.166 -0.17)52.02% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (-0.143 -0.14)73.75% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.66% (0.087000000000003 0.09)33.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.04% (0.096 0.1)69.95% (-0.098000000000013 -0.1)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.209 -0.21)22.44% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.03% (-0.308 -0.31)55.97% (0.307 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Mazatlan 27.87%
    Club America 46.31%
    Draw 25.81%
MazatlanDrawClub America
1-0 @ 8.22% (0.074 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.75% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.51% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.87%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.049 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 11.17%
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.16% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, August 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-1 Queretaro
Wednesday, August 17 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-3 Mazatlan
Saturday, August 13 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 6 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 31 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-1 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 28 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Queretaro 0-1 America
Wednesday, August 24 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 7-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, August 21 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-3 America
Thursday, August 18 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 0-3 America
Sunday, August 14 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Juarez
Monday, August 8 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-0 America (5-6 pen.)
Thursday, August 4 at 4.15am in Club Friendlies 1


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