Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 48.01%. A win for Club America had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
0.99) 
-1.04) 
