Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.