Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 56.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
