SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 35.22% | 28.33% | 36.45% |
| Both teams to score 46.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.51% | 59.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% | 79.84% |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.01% | 31.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.55% | 68.45% |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% | 31.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.45% | 67.54% |
| Score Analysis |
| Puebla | Draw | Santos Laguna |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.48% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 9.98% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.44% |
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