Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 37.25%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.