Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.